I don't use mediacoder, but a universal equation is
Notice FPS isn't in that calculationCode:filesize = bitrate * running time
In the xml , you have 5000 entered, probably kb/s
If the video bitrate was 5000kb/s for the original (video only, not counting audio or container overhead) the resulting filesize would be the sameCode:key="overall.video.bitrate">5000</node>