Okay, i'm about to place a wager on this Sunday's lineup. It's going to be a 9-team parlay which is very unlikely to win, but i'm sure about most of my picks except for two. Maybe you guys could help me with them. Who would you pick? Eagles or Giants at New York? and what about Chargers and Browns at Cleveland?
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baltimore @ cincy = baltimore, cincy sucks, baltimore is tough.
denver @ minnesota = minnesota, but it could be a close one since culpepper is coming back from an injury..
new england @ miami = miami, they're at home, plus new england was an early season flash in the pan
philly @ ny giants = giants, they're at home & mcnabb has too much "pride" (rush limbaugh) to take his injured ass out..
tennessee @ carolina = carolina, superb defense, tennessee has recently become strong, but against mediocre teams.
dallas @ detroit = dallas, they're flying high.. but hopefully not too high to over look a young and trigger happy lions team.
green bay @ st. louis = who ******* knows? both teams have underachieved this year, green bay isnt a turf team, st. louis is at home.. i say st. louis.
nawlins @ atlanta = atlanta, they're a decent team without vick, nawlins just sucks..
san diego @ cleveland = cleveland, they're at home, they're a good team, and san diego is going down the shitter.
washington @ buffalo = buffalo, their defense will exploit the fun & gun offense washington uses.. then washington will turn to the ground and get shut down..
ny jets @ houston = houston, who would have expected that a expansion team in its second year would do so well? thats the new era of expansion teams for you..
chicago @ seattle = seattle, great defense vs a shitty bears team.. too easy..
tampa bay @ san fran = tampa bay, good defense against a crappy niners team..
KC @ oakland = KC all the way..
so lets review..
balitimore
minnesota
miami
ny giants
carolina
dallas
st. louis
atlanta
cleveland
buffalo
houston
seattle
tampa bay
kansas city
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my week 6 record = 11-3. misses = greenbay/KC, sanfran/seattle, & nyjets/newengland.. greenbay blew it hardcore in the 4th & ot, sanfran missed an xpa that would have given them OT, and who the hell would have thought the jets would win a game?
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I wouldnt count mcnabb out jeex...he's pretty damn good.
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i wouldnt count mcnabb out either, but he has a hand injury on his throwing hand.. not many qb's can be effective for an entire game with that injury.. and mcnabb wasnt very effective against the cowboys..
his pride is getting in the way of what is best for his team..
he should bench himself, but he doesnt want to make rush limbaugh look right.
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Good choices but you didnt really take into account the spread.
Buffalo Washington +3
Giants Philly +3
Dallas Detroit +3
Browns Chargers +6
Ravens Bengals +2
Vikings Denver +2
Panthers Titans +2
Atlanta Saints +3
Miami Pats +6
Rams Greenbay +4
Jets Houston +3
Seattle Bears +10
Tampa San Fran +4
So with all that said and done I'm going 5 for 5 on
Dallas over Detroit - I know Dallas can win, and I know they can win by at least 4 points
Baltimore over Bengals- I'm suprised they only gave the Bengals 2 points, the ravens are going to walk all over them.
Carolina over Tennessee- Panthers are on fire and if they can beat the Colts, they can beat the Titans by more than 2 points
New England over Miami- I'm a Pats fan all the way, but I dont bet blindly. If Miami wins, it wont be by more than 6 points, so I take Pats
Jets over Houston- They won a game finally and Chad is almost ready to come back, look for team morale to take them to a victory"Sleep-
Those little slices of Death;
How I loath them."
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Those bets are called 'SUCKER' bets. I guarantee you will NEVER win any of them. If you are going to parlay, it must absolutely be 5 teams or less..and even then..you are asking to just throw your dockets away.
The smartest plays are reverses and Teasers. I know betting small on those 10 games teasers are enticing..but even if you bet $5 ..you are just throwing it out the window. Some places offer 4 team 13 point teasers
@ -130 ...that's about as solid as you can get. You can usually only have one total in that type of "special" teaser...and totals are always as close of a lock as you can get. So Pick one total..and then take your three favorite plays.
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Wow I might lose $5...and I have a chance of winning $100. Will I win? probably not, but it makes watching the games and hearing the scores funner.
I'm not really looking to make it big. I just find it fun. And like I said, its only $5."Sleep-
Those little slices of Death;
How I loath them."
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Just your comment shows that you don't know much about betting. By reading your post I thought you had a better understanding..obviously I was wrong. Hey..do what you want with your money...it's yours..but i'll tell you one thing...any book that takes your money on those 9 teamers is calling you a big sucker. As I said..those bets are called "SUCKER BETS".....
I assume the way you are placing these bets is with those cardboard cards....which go from someone you know to the actual book...that book usually gives a percentage to the person who gets all the wagers from the "SUCKERS."
I will GUARANTEE YOU this right here..you will NEVER hit one of those...NEVER. You can bet them for the rest of your life..and you will NEVER hit one. If you think i'm wrong..how bout me and you make a bet? Post your picks every week on here...and watch how you lose every single time.
And you said you will win $100 if you bet $5 on a 9 team parlay? My goodness..the person taking your plays is calling you SUPER SUCKER....the odds for a 8 team parlay in any legit sport book are 100/1 which means on an 8 teamer you'd win $500 by laying $5. You are only getting 20/1 ...wow...the guy taking plays from people like you is laughing his ass off every week.
And hey..yea, it's your money....throw the five bucks away....that's your money....I'm trying to do you a favor and save you the rest of the season which would be about $50. I think that's a nice gesture on my part.
Oh..by the way...you aren't the only sucker who plays those cards....but I can assure you that some book is got his cigar in his mouth..fired up real nicely just waiting for this Sunday and more people like you. See..they get a few hundred people like you and make countless thousands just off those sucker cards alone. What a job, huh? Oh..not to mention that on those sucker cards "TIE LOSES"..LMAO......with a legit sports book...a tie is a "PUSH" and the parlay goes down one..so your 9 gamer would go down to an 8, and so forth and so on.
And it's defininitely clear your doing the "SUCKER CARDS" because all your lines are even spreads...there are no "HALF POINTS" ..which shows you are getting suckered right there. Some of those lines should be 1/2 point less then what they are. The chances of you winning a LEGIT 9 teamer with those cards is over 250/1 ...you don't have a chance.
Good luck with your guaranteed losses this year. If i'm wrong...then how bout you post your 9 gamer picks for the rest of the year and let's find out.
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betting is okay with me, as long as it is friendly and only by winnner/loser..
when you start betting and are needing teams to do "certain things" besides win, then its just crap..
by the way, i'm changing a pick.. nawlins over atlanta.. atlanta is starting their 3rd string qb.. i dont expect a kurt warner situation.
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Yeah I stopped reading your post when I realized that you hadnt read mine right.
I am betting on 5 games. I pay $5. And if I win, yes I get $100.
Its impossible to win???? Then how has a couple of my friends already done it.
Mister big bad and know it all please dont try to rain on my parade.
I know that when I pick 5 game, and I add in the spread that its very unlikely I will win. I am ok with that. I dont care if the booky calls me a sucker. Everyone cant win all the time, but for now I already have 2 friends who have won. Thats what pretty much got me started on it. I figured that I already liked covering all the games as it was, why not throw some small wagers into it."Sleep-
Those little slices of Death;
How I loath them."
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How are you saving me $50?
I only have to pay $5. This is going to be my first time doing it this weekend.
And its called betting, so there are obviously chances that I will lose. Matter of fact, I pretty much know I will lose. But its fun going through the picks and damnit it will be fun this weekend when I check scores and see how things are going.
Man give me a break."Sleep-
Those little slices of Death;
How I loath them."
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you just said you know you are gonna lose. You need to bet money to enjoy a football game? I got another S word for you on that..."SAD." SAD N SUCKER.....and this is gonna be your first time..although you make yourself sound like you have done it before and know what you are talking about. Give yourself a break...gotta bet money to enjoy a football game....very Sad to say the least.
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Wow, yeah I have to bet money to enjoy football.
I mean even though I have been watching it since I was about 7 years old. All of that was just so I would know enough about the game to finally be able to bet $5 and maybe win $100. You have me figured out.
Man I bet nothing gets by you.
I'm just going to stop, because your looking for a reason to ride my ass. And how am I pretending to know what I'm talking about. Either I know it, or I dont.
I know everything I ******* posted, or else I wouldnt have been able to post it.....wow another crazy concept.
I love football. I dont need anything to enjoy watching a game. I said it would be fun.....yeah fun. Just like being able to sit back and drink a beer when I watch football is good too. But do I need beer to enjoy it...NO!!
Damn man, I dont even post here much but saw a football thread and figured I would chime in and you gotta be a dickhead for no reason.
thanks alot man"Sleep-
Those little slices of Death;
How I loath them."
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well defense, i started this post and after reading what you wrote i think you're being an ass. So this guy wants to bet $5 on something that he thinks will win and u say is impossible, SO WHAT. Let him bet. Is it worth the $5 a week to maek 5 games on sunday more exciting? i think so, i personally think it is possible to win a 9 team parlay, i don't know much about betting on stuff like this so all this line/spread stuff u guys are talking about is unknown to me, thats why i don't bet on that, i just bet on the winning team, and to me, if i win i win a lot, if i lose, i only lose $20 of the $120 i won last week off a 3-team parlay. You say its impossible to win a 9-team parlay. Do you really think dallas will lose to Detroit? I don't, and there are a few more of the games that i'm pretty sure what the outcome will be, if i'm wrong whatever, i'm only losing the money i took from the casino back to it. But given that i'm only "guessing" on about 2 or 3 of the games, i think i have a good chance, but don't say its impossible to win a 8-team parlay, becuase i've done it before and my friends have too... not in football becuase football just started, but me and my friends have done it during baseball, and if i can do that in baseball, then i can for sure do it in NFL. It's a lot harder to pick winners in baseball than in football. That's just my opinion.
Basically, don't get mad becasue we want to bet on the games. Whether you think we are going to win doesn't matter. I think i have a good chance, the other guy just bets to make it exciting, so what. You throw away $5 to go bowling, or $200 to goto a laker game, all you're doing is throwing away your money for a few hours of fun. What's the big deal if someone else does it too?
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@ amikichi....if you read my post you'll see that I said that if SCRUBkid wants to throw his money away..that's on him. If he wants to smoke crack, that's on him too. It's obvious neither of you have any clue about placing bets...it's only little money so it's all good. But that's how suckers get started...they get taken week in and week out until they get frustrated and do what's called "DOUBLING" and "TRIPLING" up...trying to recoup their money..it never happens. Even little money adds up over time.
Hey, but you think you two will post all your parlay picks for the rest of the season? Just for fun..don't worry...I won't call you Super Suckers when you lose each and every single week....and to think..all you have to do is win one week and I'm gonna look like a total ass. That's all you gotta do..so how bout posting your picks every week? I always love a good laugh.
My point was trying to give you some tips...I guess hearing you both are suckers makes me a dick,,huh? lmao.....I gave you the best "BET" you'll ever get....stop while your behind because you won't win..and if you start to double and triple up after you lose every single week..you both will be like all the other suckers out there.
You two are great examples of exactly what Barnum & Bailey once said along time ago....there's a SUCKER BORN EVERY MINUTE!
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i know you weren't talking about me, if u read my post
"Basically, don't get mad becasue we want to bet on the games. Whether you think we are going to win doesn't matter. I think i have a good chance, the other guy just bets to make it exciting, so what. "
And who said i'm going to do a 9-team parlay every week? the only reason i'm doing a 9-teamer is because i won a 3-teamer and i can afford to risk $20 because i won 120. And as to ur comment about doubling, i would have to lose about 60 times for me to have to actually doulbe my bet, because a $20 bet on a 9-team parlay pays out anywhere from 1000-2400 (with reasonable choices, if u want to pick pure underdogs it'll go up to 10,000). so i wouldn't have to double my bet EVER, i could even cut it in half and all i need is one win to go over the top. It's like the lotto, but better odds... you could play lotto your whole life, and always lose, but it only takes $1 and if u win once, u've won everything back and some.
So to recap:
I knew you weren't talking to me
I don't plan on betting 9-team parlays EVERY week, just this one because i won last week, i'll probably put up a 3-team along with the 9 just for insurance purposes anyways.
I wouldn't ever need to double my bet let alone triple it becuase of the fact that there is a 50 to 1 payout on 9-team parlays.
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@ subclubkid...what world do you live in? The booking days of Solely Mafia have been long gone..wake up buddy. Books are everywhere...in every city....and in massive numbers. You know alot about lines..yet your posts show your just another sucker. That's what your called buddy...that's not me calling you that..that's what your book is calling you....lmao...poor shit.
Of course...your using those cardboard cards..you gonna deny that? Of course you are getting massively screwed with the "solid" lines. I'm sure you know that too...right..u just enjoy getting screwed because your a sucker..huh? Oh...what about when you TIE...YOU LOSE...BWAHHHH..but i'm sure you enjoy that too..huh? Of course you know if you put the play down with a REAL BOOK...a tie would be a push. Oh..in addition to the other two areas you are getting SUPER SUCKERED IN..there's a third area....YOU ARE GETTING "SUCKER ODDS"...lmao....but once again..i'm sure you know that too....so THREE AREAS...count em up..you are getting SUPER DUPER SUCKERED....but wait...you already know that.
The books have nice lives because of suckers like you. You couldn't get a play with a real book because they don't take Scrubs $5 plays ...but the middleman you're going through is laughing their ass off too. Read my earlier posts..it's definitely possible to hit a 5 teamer..not likely..but possible....but with the sucker odds your getting..the sucker SPREADS YOUR GETTING..and the TIE LOSES SUCKER PLAY you're getting..that increases those ridiculous odds MUCH MORE. But again...you already know that...spell it out...S...U...C..K..E..R.
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First off Soccer is a great sport as well. And i don't know about him, but at my casino www.sportsbook.com the only time you lose in a tie is with soccer, because you can either bet win/lose/tie. With football or baseball if there is a tie, that game is discarded from your parlay. and i'm not getting shitty odds, i know you were talking to him, but who says he is, 5$ for 100 that's 20to1, if he picked all favored teams, thats possible. I've picked a 4-team that gave me 6 to 1 because they were all favored by like -300 and higher (err.. lower).
And what is this whole cardboard card? all i do is click a few boxes, type in my credit card number, and there's my bet. I actually get bonuses on how much i deposit as well...
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@ amikichi... the 20/1 is standard..you can find better if you look harder. I was referring to that payout on the 8 and 9 team parlay. As far as the ties go...exactly my point...online even..you will push on a tie with a parlay..on the sucker cards..you LOSE...PERIOD. And they set you up for it big time with the lines. Notice there isn't a single 1/2 line on any spread? That is intentional..another reason why the cards are referred to as Sucker Cards.
As far as your parlays go...you got it right....the team that was favored paid you less because they were minus 300. So if you bet that play straight..that means you'd have to lay 300 to win 100. The standard odds on a 4 team parlay is 10/1 ..you got 6/1 because of the favorites..and this is something completely different then putting in a play for a 8 or 9 team parlay..even if it is a legit bet..you still won't win.
As a matter of fact..i'd guarantee that you can go the rest of the year and pick 9 games WITHOUT THE SPREAD..just pick the WINNER/LOSER..and you still won't win. So take that and add the spread into the mix...and it's beyond ridiculous. But that's the persons business making the play...I was making a very valid point. I guess they didn't like the "SUCKER CARD" lingo..unfortunately for them..that's exactly how the book calls it. IF you know a bookie...which it looks like you don't because your putting your plays in online..but if you happen to know one...say these words...how happy are you on Friday when the "SUCKER CARDS" are collected. Watch the smile on their face.
And as far as online sites go...they are shitty too..yea they give you benefits..but every time you want to collect..you have to pay to get your money. In addition...those match plays and bonuses they give you for "re-uping" have many restrictions. Find a book and put your plays in with them. If you like the online sites...here's more good info...the #1 rated online site is www.betus.com They were one of the few sites a couple of years ago..and HBO and Bryant Gumbell had a big report on them..saying they were the most legit and respected of all the off shore sites.
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Washington +3
Why is Washington a dog in this game? Bills are a joke. I think maybe whoever posted this line made a mistake. Regardless, I would take Washington -3 too.
Philly +3
I like Philly because I think they will force Collins to make mistakes.
Detroit +3
Upset special. Detroit's better than advertised.
Browns -6
San Diego just sucks.
Ravens -2
Best player in the NFL you don't really know much about? Ed Reed, Ravens safety. Tremendous playmaker.
Denver +2
Fun matchup! I like Denver despite Plummer's injury; I think Minnesota is a little overrated.
Titans +2
OK I hate to do this because Carolina is my #2 team, but I think Tenn. is going to win it all this year.
Saints -3
I'm getting sleepy just thinking about this turd of a game.
Miami -6
Bias here. Miami is my team. I'm predicting 16-6, for the record.
Packers +4
Looks like Green Bay has turned it up the last three weeks, despite the choke at home against KC.
Houston +3
Are the Jets making their annual comeback? I hope not, and I think not. They have too many holes on that team, even when Penny-boy comes back.
Bears +10
They may get blown out, but I just don't like laying 10. I think with the QB change to Chandler, one of the all-time underrated guys (when he's healthy) Chicago will be a better team. A-Train has at least run well.
San Fran +4
I think San Fran wins this with revenge for last year's beatdown in Tampa in the playoffs. T. Owens...would you want him on your team?
Good topic guys; enjoyed it!
Dale
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Well Dale, you ONLY lost just about every one of your picks. You sure do sound convincing..I hope you don't do this for a living.
Detroit +3
Upset special. Detroit's better than advertised. [b] LOSER - DETROIT SUCKS, they are the second worse team next to Arizona.
Browns -6
San Diego just sucks.
Dont' know what planet you live on. The Chargers have been playing very competitive and have lost games at the end. Schottenhemier has a team with no talent playing extremely competitive. Great coach to say the least.
Ravens -2
Best player in the NFL you don't really know much about? Ed Reed, Ravens safety. Tremendous playmaker.
The Ravens have no offense..PERIOD....Lewis Can't do it all...another LOSER
Denver +2
Fun matchup! I like Denver despite Plummer's injury; I think Minnesota is a little overrated. LOSER..Denver was getting blown out all game...
Minnesota is overrated?
You're kidding right...another play which was a LOSER.
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Packers +4
Looks like Green Bay has turned it up the last three weeks, despite the choke at home against KC.
Yep..you LOST that one too. That pick was a LWHOOOSER.
Miami -6
Bias here. Miami is my team. I'm predicting 16-6, for the record.
Another LOSER ....well...you only Lost all but two of your 1 p.m games. Horrific to say the least.
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Originally Posted by defense
Yeah, I had an awful day, mostly because of my stupid Dolphins just failing me.
I still say Minnesota is overrated.
And you're way off on San Diego...they have been getting beat up by most everyone. I don't know how they won today, other than the fact that Cleveland also sucks.
Miami's just killing me though. That was a gutless performance and I'm getting sick of that kind of thing after 25 years of it.
Dale
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