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  1. RIAA will take 2191.78 years to sue everyone
    Source: The Inquirer
    READER MICHAELA STEPHENS says that if the Electronic Frontier Foundation (EFF) is right and that 60 million US folk are file sharing, it's going to take the Recording Industry Association of America (RIAA) a mighty long time to get round to them all. She said: "I pulled out my calculator to see just how long it would take the RIAA to sue all 60 million P2P music file traders at a rate of 75 a day. 60,000,000/75 = 800,000 days to subpoena each person or 800,000 days/365 days in a year = 2191.78 years to subpoena each person".

    Michaela points out that it's unrealistic to suppose that the RIAA will have any money left in 2191 years, and she even wonders whether the trade association will exist then.

    Plus, she points out, given the rate of tech advancement, it's likely that we'll have moved on to many different types of music media in even a hundred years.

    She continues: " So let us consider more realistic numbers. The RIAA plans to sue thousands of file sharers. Working in increments of 5000: 5,000 people/75 subpoenas a day = 66 days How are they going to keep track of all these lawsuits going on? 10,000 people/75 subpoenas a day = 133 days or about 2/3 of a year.

    "Keep in mind suing 10,000 people is still only going to impact only one six thousandth (1/6000) of the file traders out there. And who is getting rich off of this? The lawyers. Betcha not a single musician will see a cent of this money.

    "15,000 people/75 subpoenas a day = 200 days (1 out of every 4000 affected) 20,000 people/75 subpoenas a day = 266.6 days (1 out of every 3000 affected)

    "When might this actually start affecting us? When 1 out of every 10 is affected? That would mean they'd have to sue six million people. That would take,...(6,000,000/75 = 80,000)... 80,000 days.. or 219 years! They'd have to sue our great grand children!"
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    They cant be serious?
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  2. The numbers are fun to push around, but essentially meaningless. The RIAA doesn't need to sue significant numbers to have an impact -- a few soldiers killed in war each day seems to somehow impress people even when it's relatively insignificant statistically compared to an entire population.

    To put it another way -- if you knew your odds of dying in a plane crash were 1 in 6000 would you fly? You probably wouldn't (and would be correct in avoiding it) because those odds aren't very good at all. That would mean there would be a fatality in at least one out of every 20 flights, so if you were a businessman you'd be risking your life quite often each year.

    The main purpose of suing the high profile users is to have a chilling effect on the rest of the community. And it appears to be working (although it's early days): file sharing has dropped dramatically since the RIAA started this policy (some of this may be due to the timing, though, since school is out and the major file sharers no longer have free internet access).

    I don't agree with the tactics of the RIAA, but I think they are effective. Time will tell.
    "Like a knife, he cuts through life, like every day's his last" -- Mr. Kiss Kiss Bang Bang
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